Belief Models, Aggregation and Impossibility


This paper has two goals. The first goal is to say some thing about how one might combine different agents’ imprecise probabilities to generate an aggregate imprecise probability. The second goal is to champion the very general theory of “belief models” which, I think, deserves more attention. The belief models framework is interesting partly because many other formal models of reasoning appear as special cases of belief models (for example, propositional logic, ranking functions, imprecise probability). I speculate briefly on impossibility theorems and aggregation.

KCL seminar